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Question: There are 3 scrolls, in which 2 of them contain explosive tags. Shikamaru asks you to pick the scroll that won't explode. You pick one scroll. Before you can open it, Shikamaru opens one of the remaining scrolls and poof, it explodes. He gives you the choice of either sticking with your original choice or switching to the remaining one.
Should you switch? Why?
Click here to read the answers of the very brave Shinobis who took up the challenge.
Shikamaru's Answer: Ok, I cheated. Too lazy to come up with an original question so I stole the famous Monty Hall Problem and changed the question a little. The original question involved 3 doors (which I replaced with the 3 scrolls), behind which 2 are goats and 1 hides a car. Same thing, you're asked to choose the door which hides a car, someone opens another door, revealing a goat and asks if you'd like to change your choice and why.
The answer is: Yes. You should change.
Reason: Probability question. I'm too lazy to explain. You're most likely going to protest against the logic anyway, though it's really quite elementary. Cecil Artavion explained it pretty well (with a mysterious "door B") and Warbringer did too at the 3rd try. Check out their correct answers here. Josh Klindienst guessed it was the Monty Hall Problem but he didn't get it right. Check out this link for more information on the Monty Hall Problem if you're still not convinced: http://www.cut-the-knot.org/hall.shtml, or just type "Monty Hall Problem" in any search engine. The rest of you who answered, creative but I said it was a Maths Question. It's ok, you can try again. Click here take up my current challenge. |
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